After a rather cold week, it appears that warmer weather is on the way, although winter will let us know it’s far from over this weekend. Rain moved into parts of the state this morning and has slowly spread east across the state during the afternoon hours and should be pretty widespread by this evening. Some of the rain could have mixed with a little sleet this morning as radar scans showed some occurring in the far northern counties, but surface observations indicated that much of what radar was showing wasn’t reaching the ground due to dry air in place. Highs were on the chilly side today with most locations in the 40s while a few spots hung out in the 30s.
Rain will increase tonight as an area of low pressure moves south of the state and spreads moisture into the state. Lows will be mainly in the 30s but some areas may hold steady or even see a rise into the 40s tonight. Overall rainfall amounts are forecast to be in the 1/2 -1″ range over about the NW 1/2 of the state with lesser amounts in the southeastern part.
Rain is forecast to end on Monday from west to east with high temperatures in the 40s and low 50s. Skies will remain mostly cloudy.
The clouds look to hang around much of the week with rain chances ramping up on Wednesday and Thursday. Temperatures in the middle of the week will be warmer with low and middle 60s possible by Wednesday and Thursday even with the cloud cover.
The warmer weather will come to a crashing end as arctic air moves in behind a departing storm system late Thursday. If the cold air gets here before all the moisture leaves the state, there could be a brief changeover from rain to a wintry mix or snow especially over parts of northern and NE Arkansas. The forecast will be fine-tuned as we head deeper into the week so stay tuned. If any wintry weather develops, amounts look very light and most model data doesn’t show much in the way of accumulation. High temperatures on Friday will drop into the 30s and 40s with overnight lows in the teens and 20s Saturday morning. Highs on Saturday and Sunday will be in the 20s and 30s with lows in the teens and 20s.
As we head into the week of January 15th, it looks like a nice warm-up will start over much of the country with temperatures going above normal for a while and this warmer air will spread into the Natual State as we progress through the week. There is a chance this warmer weather may extend all the way through the end of January, but it’s a little too early to say for sure. I’ll be in the camp of hoping it stays warm but I know many of you like the cold weather and are hoping for some snow.
Thanks for reading.