Showers moved across the state Sunday and Sunday night and are confined to eastern Arkansas this morning as an area of low pressure moves away from the state. Temperatures are in the 30s and 40s and all reporting stations are reporting temperatures above freezing this morning. Patchy fog has developed as well.
Skies will be mostly cloudy across the state today and really for the next several days, an unsettled pattern develops over our region. Temperatures will be mild over the next few days before another surge of arctic air moves through the state to end the week and start the weekend. Highs will be in the 40s and low 50s today with 50s and 60s seen by Wednesday and Thursday. Lows will be mainly in the 30s tonight then 30s and 40s and even some low 50s the middle of the week.
Rain chances will start to increase as we head into Wednesday and Thursday with Thursday and Thursday night being the wettest period. There may also be a rumble of thunder possible especially Thursday night over the south.
It gets a little interesting Thursday night and early Friday as colder air moves into the state and an upper-level low tracks through the region. There may be enough moisture available to change the rainfall over to a winter mix or even light snow especially early Friday. The exact track of the upper system will be critical but as of this morning, both the Euro and GFS were showing a changeover to a wintry mix for portions of central and northern Arkansas. Any accumulations would be light but with temperatures in the upper 20s to low 30s, it is possible to see some travel issues if in fact a change over occurs. It’s definitely something to watch as we get closer to Friday.
I did note the Euro was showing around 0.2″ of snow for the Little Rock area on Friday with slightly higher amounts to the north and NE.
Colder air will move in for the weekend with highs in the 30s and 40s and lows in the teens and 20s. The cold air looks to hang around through the weekend and into the early part of next week, where models, once again are showing a weak system moving through with some winter weather possible as precipitation begins on Tuesday. If this verified, it would possibly be in the form of sleet/freezing rain before changing to rain as warmer air moves into the state. A warming trend looks to begin in the middle of next week and might hang around for a while.
I’ll continue to monitor the Friday system for any changes.
Thanks for reading.